The Nation Decides
2024
Also running: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (0.5%), Jill Stein (0.6%), Chase Oliver (0.4%)
155,410,204 votes counted
The Map Beneath the Map
Every county that cast a ballot, shaded by its margin. Hover any county to read it; click to open its 156-year profile. Scrub the timeline above and the map redraws in place. Vote counts exist for all forty elections; the demographic lenses begin in 2000.
Drawing three thousand counties…
A map shows where; a regression shows how much. The Democratic margin is modelled on five county traits at once, each standardized — a coefficient reads as “points of margin per one standard deviation, holding the other four fixed.” Pick a trait to follow through all three views:
Who Voted for Whom
How each slice of the electorate split between the parties — by their own account. Weighted ANES self-reports from a national sample: they tilt slightly toward the winner and carry no county detail.
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Notes on this election
- Trump's first PV plurality. County data this year switches to MEDSL geography: Alaska appears as 40 pseudo-county districts (02001–02040) and Kansas City MO is its own row ('2938000').