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The American Political Almanac
RECONSTRUCTION & THE GILDED AGETHE SYSTEM OF 1896THE NEW DEAL ORDERTHE LONG REALIGNMENTPOLARIZED ERA1868RRRRD1888RDRRR1908RDDRR1928RDDDD1948DRRDD1968RRDRR1988RDDRR2008DDRD2024R

County record · fips 51033 · Virginia

CarolineVA

Republican ×3 since 2016reported 1872–2024 · 39 elections

The Long Record

39 elections against the Virginia and national vote
2024 result
R+8.9
won by Republicans
Record since first cycle
27–12
Dem–Rep two-party wins
Voted with the winner
23/39
59% of its elections
Closest election
1928
D+0.1
this countyVirginianational (official)dot colour = two-party winner · hollow = tie or unknown total · click a dot to open that election

The Biggest Swings

Cycle-over-cycle change in the two-party margin, in points
ElectionSwingToward
1932+59.8 ptsDemocrats
1928-58.0 ptsRepublicans
1912+40.3 ptsDemocrats
1972-37.1 ptsRepublicans
1976+37.0 ptsDemocrats

Who Lives Here

Census & ACS county profile, 2024
Population
32,098
College (BA+)
22%
Median income
$87,407
2024 dollars
Non-white
39%
Rural
100%
Age 65+
17%

Interpolated between Census/ACS anchors; income CPI-deflated to 2024. Demographics begin in 2000 — earlier cycles have returns only.

Neighbouring counties

Essex, VA · Hanover, VA · King and Queen, VA · King George, VA · King William, VA · Spotsylvania, VA · Stafford, VA