The predictors behind the vote
Which county characteristics are associated with the 2020 presidential vote?
Democratic margin (pp) · OLS, predictors standardized (z-scored); HC1-robust SE; unweighted; Alaska excluded. · n = 3,102 · R² = 0.59
Chart data · 5 rows
| Predictor | Coefficient | Lower bound | Upper bound |
|---|---|---|---|
| College share (BA+) | 17.34 | 16.02 | 18.66 |
| Median income | -4.11 | -5.24 | -2.97 |
| Non-white share | 15.96 | 14.94 | 16.98 |
| Rural share | -5.69 | -6.81 | -4.56 |
| Age 65+ share | 2.66 | 1.69 | 3.64 |
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Political history almanac · pooled county vote model, 2020
Reading notes
Regression coefficients are conditional associations at county level; do not compare magnitudes across differently scaled predictors.
Source & method
Political history almanac · pooled county vote model, 2020
Existing CTZN Viz reference fixture: 23-county-model-2020.json. This example reuses the captured values; no fresh source retrieval is implied.
